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State NDA UPA Left Others Total
Manipur 0 2 0 0 2
Meghalaya 2 0 0 0 2
Arunachal 2 0 0 0 2
Mizoram 0 1 0 0 1
Tripura 0 0 2 0 2
Nagaland 1 0 0 0 1
Sikkim 0 0 0 1 1
Goa 1 1 0 0 2
Chandigarh 1 0 0 0 1
Dadra & Nagar 1 0 0 0 1
Lakshwadip 0 1 0 0 1
Andaman 1 0 0 0 1
Daman Diu 1 0 0 0 1
Total 10 5 2 1 18

THE BIG PICTURE

a)NDA [BJP, JD(U), SHS, INLD, RLD, SAD, AGP, NCP in NE (P.Sangma)] = 195-200
b)UPA [INC, NCP, DMK, MUL, MIM, KEC, NC, TMC] = 170-175
c)3rd front [Left, TDP, TRS, BJD, AIADMK+, JD(S), BSP] = 140-145
d)4th front [RJD, SP, LJP] = 30-35
e)Others / Independents = 01-02

NATIONAL PARTIES

a) BJP = 150-155
b) INC = 140-145

The catch is if NDA slips in the crucial swing states of UP, Maharashtra, and/or performs worse than predicted by me in Bihar, Karnataka, Gujarat and/or TDP/Left alliance slips in AP, then it would be tough for LKA to realize his dream.

http://promiseofreason.com/forums/

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http://promiseofreason.com/forums/

promiseofreason is aready telling about INC in south(Karnataka/AP/Kerala/TN) 37.which is almost same as yours …

He will definitely be in THird place… The battle is between BJP and JDS in Bangalore Central

http://hindi.economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/4427033.cms

what about the correption. i have full consious on jagan reddy correption. they are just looting the state as if it is their ancestor property. i beleive any educated person wont vote for congress.

http://www.orkut.co.in/Main#CommPollResults.aspx?cmm=6574&pct=1239328328&pid=219763569

This is the observation came out from majority polling booths those have seen the pulse of voters in Telangana region. BJP was no way considered to be strong before first phase of elections, but on the actual polling day, observers have noticed hidden strength of the party.

Now experts say that BJP may give surprise in Telangana region getting 5-10 MLAs and 2-3 MPs. Another surprise is that some say that it may grab second position among some Parliament and Assembly seats as well. One thing is for sure is BJP’s vote share will increase drastically this time. Many places reported that cross voting for Lok Sabha to BJP in the places like Secundrabad, Adilabad, Mahaboob Nagar , Malkajgiri, Karim Nagar and Chevella is observed.

We need to wait for another one more month to see what is going to Happen.

Owaisi thrashes TDP agent
Headlines Today
Hyderabad, April 17, 2009
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Hyderabad MP Asaduddin Owaisi of the Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen beat up a polling agent of the Telugu Desam Party (TDP) during polling on Thursday.

Owaisi is alleged to have taken the law into his own hands after he got information that the TDP polling agent was influencing voters in Mughalpura in Hyderabad which went to the polls in the first phase of the Lok Sabha polls on Thursday. The victim has not filed a complaint with police.

The incident was condemned by almost all parties.

BJP ideologue Sudheendra Kulkarni said the act cannot be justified as there is no place for muscle power during elections.

Congress Working Committee member Keshav Rao called the incident very unfortunate.

Based on what I have gathered from preliminary sources is given below.

1) Maharashtra : UPA sweep in Vidharbha (UPA = 7-8, NDA = 2-3) and advantage in Marathwada (UPA = 2-3, NDA = 0-1)

2) Jharkhand : UPA has upper hand (UPA = 3-4, NDA = 0-1, Others = 1-2). Yeshwant Sinha, Karia Munda may lose.

3) Orissa : INC sweep (INC = 6, BJP+ = 1, BJD/NCP/Left = 3)

4) Bihar : NDA & RJD+ neck and neck (NDA = 7, RJD+ = 6)

5) UP : INC/BJP wash out. Main fight between SP & BSP (BSP = 8-9, SP = 4-5, BJP = 1-2, INC = 0-1). Yogi Adiyanath, Murli M Joshi may lose.

6) Assam = INC upper hand (INC = 2, BJP+ = 1)

7) Chattisgarh : INC is on a road to recovery. Local level anti-incumbency against sitting MPs is peaking. (BJP = 6-7, INC = 4-5). BJP has miscalculated on this issue.

North East : INC has an upper hand (INC = 4 , NDA = 2, Left = 1)

I was surprised by the feedback and am cross-checking to be really sure.

Would give the final estimates tomoprrow by 8PM after cross-checking with other sources.

Hari, Need You Input.
Now, BJP Winning Kanniyakumari is A Certain, as Karthik(A Thevar) too is with BJP, which again has Put A Thevar Candidate, Thirunavukarasar in Ramanathapuram, where Thevars are Large in Population, BJP has got higher Chances of Winning in Ramanathapuram as well.
South Chennai, is An Elite Constituency and Thatz The Primary Reason, People feel, BJP Will Win from here, further, A 4 Way Split will be Advantage BJP