by Chakresh Mishra
Jun 18, 2008Countdown to general election 2009 – west india – a BJP sweep
- Countdown to general election 2009 – north india – a battleground
- Countdown to general election 2009 – west india – a BJP sweep
- Countdown to general election 2009 – south india – a thousand options
- Countdown to general election 2009 – east india – lefts are loosing
- Countdown to general election 2009 – conclusion – a hung parliament
Western India is always been a bastion of BJP. This time also it is going its traditional way. Read the detailed analysis.
Rajasthan (25): Rajasthan is in between of a major political storm right now. This is a gamble which can go horribly against BJP or get a public sympathy for BJP. But as the time will pass fire will be extinguished. Gujjars are not going to vote for BJP for sure. BJP can consolidate 15% meena in its favor by not signing treaty with gujjars. This means that a lot depends on present talks. We can predict that BJP will lose a little ground, and still manage to win 18 seats, leaving 7 for congress.
Madhya Pradesh (29): Madhya Pradesh is been a headache for BJP organization. After changing two chief ministers, it is not in such a good condition as was in 2004. Anti-incumbency is also working against BJP, But BJP generally more reliable option in LokSabha election in MP. So maybe it loose state election this year, but will perform relatively better in LokSabha election. I think BJP can manage to get 18 seats here also. Congress state unit is as always in state of fight with itself. That is why they cannot capitulate on the lost grounds of BJP. They can get 10 seats, leaving 1 for other, most probably BSP.
Gujarat (26): Gujarat was a split between BJP and congress in last election due to internal problems of BJP state unit. Now after thumping victory in VidhanSabha election 2008 Modi has made it very clear that there is no more unrest against him. This will make Gujarat a almost clean sweep for BJP with 21 seats, leaving 5 for congress.
Goa (2): Goa is most likely to split between BJP and congress.
Maharashtra (48): Maharashtra is the biggest and most unstable state of western India. There are four strong parties congress, NCP, SS, BJP. BSP and SP are also making some grounds here. NNS is a new party. So picture is very dazzling. Most likely this time it will favor BJP+SS. But what if they do not contest in coalition, which is a very less likely situation though; both will face same fate as in 2004. Otherwise BJP+SS are most likely to get around 32 (BJP 20 + SS 12). Congress+NCP should get around 14 (congress 8 + NCP 6). But if they fought against each other, then their tally can go further down. Two seats can go to others and independence. There is a possibility that any of major combination can take support of smaller parties. This will increase their tally by a considerable amount as 1-2% votes can make a much difference in such an election. Finally I should admit that I am not very sure about this prediction of mine about Maharashtra. So, let us wait and watch, Indian people have always thrown up surprises for political analyst in elections.
This completes our west India analysis and final tally is
Total seats: 130
BJP: 78
SS: 12
This gives NDA total as 90
INC: 31
NCP: 06
This gives UPA total as 37
Other: 03
Latest seatwise prepoll analysis
By Promise of Reason (covered Kerala, Chhattisgarh till now)
By readers of Promise of Reason (covered Maharashtra, Karnataka, Andhra, Assam, Rajasthan, UP till now)
October 7th, 2009 at 4:44 PM
Dear All
I request all of you to please vote, before voting do the study of your candidate.
Suggestion – Its better to have hindu leader rather then bangladeshi or pakistani otherwise one day or grand children will have no option other then to convert into islam.
Dear Mumbaikar
Please vote, if you want your mumbai not to be like a Bandra station or mahim,dharavi, bhivandi, pathanwadi, malvani then please vote. Dont think poor stays in SLUM, THERE ARE CROREPATIS. Please visit in slum every where you will see industries.Go to dharavi , malad, Bandra you will see it and agree with me. I bet ….
Parties are thinking of short term no one is bothered about future. Will this politician allow someone to grab their personal property then why mumbai is captured by bangaldeshi and pakistani.
August 8th, 2009 at 8:46 PM
For more updates on Maharashtra Assembly Election visit:http://www.maharashtra.assembly-election.com/
May 14th, 2009 at 10:47 AM
Hi everybody, get online live updates on 2009 Indian general elections and Indian Assembly elections 2009 at “Altius Directory”.
Get live updates on winners, national parties and about local parties at “Altius Directory”
May 5th, 2009 at 1:06 PM
hey, you are spamming here. you must be a Die Hard NCP Supporter posting under various Titles
April 29th, 2009 at 3:48 PM
Launch of Indian Politics Forums (The first Indian Politics specific forums)
http://promiseofreason.com/forums/
Why forums are essential besides blog
1. Readers can start their own topics
2. Readers can post polls
3. All those precious comments on older posts are not lost.
4. Better sense of community.
5. Better tools to engage in discussion
So go there and register and start posting
http://promiseofreason.com/forums/
April 29th, 2009 at 1:32 PM
Hi,
who is bloody
NCP Navi Mumbai Supremo Ganesh Naik
. Talk national level person.
April 29th, 2009 at 12:17 PM
Last desperate attempt by NCP. Kalyan and Thane seats would go to the SHS. They will win these seats by a record margin.
Mark my words Shiv Sena will emerge as the largest party from Maharashtra in this elections, they will get a higher tally than the BJP and NCP. The lowest this around would be INC.
Bottomline: Let Sanjeev Naik supporter try their level best and we shall ignore them.
April 29th, 2009 at 11:56 AM
Should I block this Sanjeev Naik?
April 29th, 2009 at 10:48 AM
THE GANESH NAIK WILL MAGIC WORK FOR HIS SON’S VICTORY IN THANE LOK SABHA ELECTIONS 2009……….
For a leader who proved his magic in the 2004 assembly elections’ record victory, today NCP Navi Mumbai Supremo Ganesh Naik is perhaps fighting one of the biggest battles of his political career. Our weekend exclusive today tries to find the answer to the question “Will the Ganesh Naik magic work for his son Dr. Sanjeev Naik’s victory in the Thane Lok Sabha Elections 2009?”
April 28th, 2009 at 1:16 PM
Now in the name of rashmi!!!
When this non-sense will stop??
April 27th, 2009 at 5:09 PM
Retu, Rema, Meena & Harsh,
The same nonsense loser from Mumbai is flooding threads with nonsense info.
Trying to write from different names will not change the fortunes of the INC.
April 27th, 2009 at 2:19 PM
Congress corporator inaugurates new public relation Office at Nerul to Support NCP candidate Sanjeev Naik
13.04.09,
Vaishali Tidke, Congress corporator of ward number 71, Nerul inaugurated her new public relations office in support of Loksbha polls contender Dr Sanjeev Naik. The office was inaugurated by NCP district President Gopinath Thakur.
http://navimumbai-sanjeevjinaik.blogspot.com
http://www.sanjeevgnaik.com/index.html
April 27th, 2009 at 11:37 AM
http://navimumbai-sanjeevjinaik.blogspot.com
http://www.sanjeevgnaik.com/index.html
A similar political rally was organized at Turbhe stores in support of NCP-Congress-RPI candidate Dr Sanjeev Naik. Along with the maximum participation of RPI and Congress party workers, The Planned development is for everybody to see. I Strongly feel that candidates should have vision and my vision is holistic development. In Navi Mumbai we have worked towards reducing the impact of rapid urbanization on the environment . Navi Mumbai’s is the only civic body to have its sewage treatment plant. I believe other civic bodies should also have their own sewage treatment plants. I also have plans for decentralization of sewage treatment plants with the big housing complexes having their own sewage treatment plants.
April 24th, 2009 at 4:04 PM
Standing Committee Chairman Sandeep Naik Demands New Look for Vishnudas Bhave Auditorium
Jan-25,2009
The NMMC Standing Committee also demanded change in colors of seats in Vishnudas Bhave auditorium and different colors seats for VIP rows and approved the tender bid of Rs 24.13 lakhs of Ashirwad Construction for repairs and painting of Vishnudas Bhave auditorium.
J D Sutar demanded the special color seats to identify VIP seats. Standing Committee Chairman Sandeep Naik instructed the administration to change the color of all seats and give a different color to the VIP rows so that the auditorium wears a differently new look from what CIDCO had given. Sandeep Naik also called upon the administration to expedite the taking over of the plot adjoining the auditorium, to facilitate parking of vehicles. Deputy Municipal Commissioner Jagganth Sinnarkar assured to give the auditorium the new look demanded and reserve the first two rows as VIP rows with different color seats.
http://www.blogcatalog.com/blogs/sandeep-naik-inauguarate-road-at-mukesh-gaikwad-ward.html
http:/www.sandeepnaik.com
April 23rd, 2009 at 2:06 PM
The Youth Leaders like raul vinci , biyanka and co cannot be Associated with Ordinary People of India.
We Indians DONT Identify those lowlives with The Nations Strength — The Youth
April 23rd, 2009 at 1:09 PM
Youngest leader Mr. Sandeep Naik
Youth leaders like Rahul Gandhi, Sachin Pilot, Priyanka Gandhi, Milind Deora, Omar Abdullah and Supriya Sule have taken center stage in national politics – crowned king of the Navi Mumbai is Sandeep Naik, whose political roots are near impeccable. Sandeep Naik’s aim is to make Navi Mumbai a place where one is known and judged by one’s work and not caste, creed and religion. Sandeep Naik didn’t start his political career with a bang. Sandeep Naik instead has taken his time to adjust to the pitch of politics, taking one hesitant and even reluctant step after the other only after considerable deliberation. And from a just any other party worker of father’s Ganesh Naik’s brigade rose to become the Standing Committee Chairman of NMMC – for the second consecutive term. Sandeep Naik is a member of the MMRDA committee. It’s been politics from grass root up. Meet voters and meet local party workers.
http://www.blogcatalog.com/blogs/sandeep-naik-inauguarate-road-at-mukesh-gaikwad-ward.html
http:/www.sandeepnaik.com
April 23rd, 2009 at 9:35 AM
These all are a WILD assumption. Nothing will happened like this.. There shall be no absolute majority of either NDA or UPA or Third front or Forth front.. The System is required a massive change now. The Indian Citizens are all mislead now. Every one is confused whom to vote.
April 23rd, 2009 at 12:14 AM
From my friends in Raasthan, I figure that the state may sway the congress way and B jp may loose ground here. Can you share the reasons why you project bjp in rajasthan.
I must also disagree that we have not had good prime ministers in the past. India has produced some of the best PMs. It is for that very reason that the institutes and secular foundations created by these leaders is leading to the economic rise if India now.
April 22nd, 2009 at 3:20 PM
NCP workers deny that Sanjeev Naik’s candidature for the bye-elections came as a surprise for them. They claims that they were, In fact, Preparing themselves for the elections next year.
Gopinath Thakur, NCP’s district president of Navi Mumbai, opnies that Sanjeev Naik is the right canididate for the party in the forthcoming elections.
Posted by: media media – 20th Mar 2009
http://navimumbai-sanjeevjinaik.blogspot.comhttp://www.sanjeevgnaik.com/index.html
April 22nd, 2009 at 3:15 PM
In Navi Mumbai there are talented Players up to national level says Mr.Sanjeev Naik.
Recently Navi Mumbai Sports Programme held in Navi Mumbai former mayor Shri Sanjeev Naik says In future we can get National Players with the Navi Mumbai Krida Sankul. He further stated that the next year this sports krida sankul sports event he will try to organize in his own ground.
http://navimumbai-sanjeevjinaik.blogspot.comhttp://www.sanjeevgnaik.com/index.html