WHy everyone predicting less for BJP in Karnataka? (1 post)
About This Topic
- Posted 1 year ago
- By shanthesh
- Latest reply from shanthesh
- RSS feed for this topic
Tags
No tags yet.
-
shanthesh
offlineMember
Posted 1 year ago
#If you see the CNN-IBN ,Today's TOI Everyone is giving BJP arnd 15 seats out of 28 only..
How did it change in third phase???
The reason is simple...1)Udupi seat:: Ground reports say that COngress has done well in Udupi region...Hence few psephologists take it as COng seat.But there are few things to be noted here..Udupi now has the CHikmagalur segment as well whichh accounts for 50% of Udupi-chikmagalur constituency....COngress might have done well in Udupi region and it may get abt even 25k votes lead from this region.But Nobody is taking CHikmagalur segment into account which would give minimum of 70k lead to BJP(Being from chikmagalur,I know the situation)
2)Mangalore(Dakshina kannada) seat: Higher voter turnout is being counted as anger towards state govt after pub attack..But the actual fact is diffeent,High BJP stronghold of SUllia and Puttur recorded highest voting in constituency..This was mainly bcoz Aall hindu organization are united here never before,They know that if seat goes tocongress then Hindus will have to suffer...I am sure abt this seat for BJP Wwhere as TOI and others give it to COngress
3)Shimoga::: This seat is supposed to be keen contest, But its 100% sure that Yedyurappa's son is winning...So psephologists consider this as 50-50 seat
So this is the reaosn even TOI which was giving 18 seats to BJP earlier started giivng 16 and increased cong number by 2..
Its sure that BJP will get minimum of 18 seats....Aand can go upto---23 seats
Reply
You must log in to post.