Promise of Reason

Regions of North-western South Asia

Proposed National Boundaries

I am starting this new series on “how to reorganize the South Asia politically” so as to have maximum possibility of peace and prosperiety. Division on lines of religion has been proven wrong. Base of my analysis is ethnic character of the India-Pakistan-Afghanistan-Nepal-Sri Lanka-Bangladesh-Bhutan. This analysis is based on data collected over the time and my understanding of south asia, everybody is welcome to put in their views as comments. Later I plan to bring it out as free ebook. Read the rest of this entry »

This post is by Ratnakar Sadasyula, our guest contributor. Ratnakar is an IT professional. Please welcome him on POR.

The BJP’s spectacular rise in the 90’s was due to the enthusiastic backing of the younger sections of the population, during that time. The BJP had a large support from the younger educated professionals, the college going students, and people in the 20-40 age category. While the older generation still voted for the Congress, a major part of the BJP’s support base came from the youth. For a Generation, fed up with the shenigans of the Congress, the failure of “champagne socialism” and “sham secularism”, the BJP seemed the best alternative. The BJP’s right wing Hindutva ideology had large scale support among the urban educated middle classes, while its espousal of a capitalist economy enthused the youth. The reason why youth, including myself, supported the BJP in large numbers was its no nonsense stance on internal security and the country’s safety. Many ex Defence officers joined the BJP, impressed by the party’s discipline, its decorum. While there essentially was not much difference between Congress and BJP on economic policy in the 90’s, the difference was pronounced on other issues, like relations with US, more friendly policy with Israel, Uniform Civil Code, repeal of Article 370, which did really attract the youth. Read the rest of this entry »

So, central government has banned CPI maoist, the main outfit of maoist and naxalite activities in India. It is a much awaited action and finally government woke up when these so called revolutionaries had taken over a large part of Lalgarh. Anyways better late than never. But it should not be stopped here. Government should start an all out campaign and mind you military/para-military campaign, not a police one to flush out all the naxalites from whole country, so that a right environment of development can be created in naxal affected areas. It is the best time to do so in last 60 years and looks like universe has conspired to give us that opportunity. Government must seize it with open hands and ruthless force. Here are the reasons why it is the best time to start an all-out flush out campaign against maoist and naxalites. Read the rest of this entry »

The problem:

Whether it is Mr. Rajdeep sardesai on CNN-IBN showing his concerns for performance of Congress party or NDTV news reporters stating their clear preferences for Left in their news items, all are sources of worry for neutral functioning of media. Media which is by its very name, not supposed to favor one party or another, seems to loosing its way. All the media persons we are discussing here are very senior reporters and thinkers as such. But problem to separate fact from the personal values and preferences is looming large on media as a whole. Read the rest of this entry »

So, the results are out and it is exact opposite to what this blog predicted. It is a major win for congress, in every state and every part of country. All other major alliances are decisively defeated. Congress says it is a vote for development and for its crown prince Rahul Gandhi. He did revive congress in UP as promised.

Still my biggest sympathy is with BJP, which is the party I voted for. A nationalist party. It is a loss of face for BJP.
But friends, There are times in history of a nation when all seem lost and looks like wrong forces have won the final battle. But dear friends, it is just a process, which goes on and on. 5 years may be significant time period in life of a man, but in life of a nation (that too a nation like India) is just a flickr of eye.

The time after defeat is not for grief and blame-game. It is the time to introspect and start preparing to come out as winner in next battle.

Though hopes are shattered and nightmares are prevailing, the dawn will surely come. It is not the first black day of Indian history, we survived and fought back. Let us do that again.

Tell us what do you feel, comment!

This is my prediction about how things are going to turn out in west bengal:

1. Coochbehar: Toss up ( Trinamool- AIFB)
2. Alipurduar: RSP
3. Jalpaiguri: CPI(M)
4. Darjelling: BJP
5. Raiganj: INC
6. Balurghat: Toss up
7. Maldaha Uttar: INC
8. Maldaha Dakshin: INC
9. Jangipur: INC
10. Baharampur: INC Read the rest of this entry »

Based on feedback received from the ground in some states as well as newspaper, TV reports, web blogs and discussions during the 3 phases of “India Votes 2009”, my state wise estimate is given below. I would request all readers to give your valuable inputs also.

Phases I-II were certainly advantageous to NDA. There were some setbacks to the alliance during Phase-III in the states of Karnataka and Gujarat. Overall the 3 phases has put NDA ahead.

But the alliance has little to consolidate upon in the subsequent 2 phases, which may be limited to small gains in Himachal, Western UP, Haryana, and Delhi. It should now focus on increasing the losses of UPA by either cutting down UPA votes, strategically transferring its votes to non UPA parties especially in TN and WB and finally restricting its losses in Rajasthan and Punjab. In fact if BJP helps Left restrict its losses in WB and Kerela, it would be an advantage to NDA as it would directly affect UPA numbers. Read the rest of this entry »