Promise of Reason

This post is by Ratnakar Sadasyula, our guest contributor. Ratnakar is an IT professional. Please welcome him on POR.

The BJP’s spectacular rise in the 90’s was due to the enthusiastic backing of the younger sections of the population, during that time. The BJP had a large support from the younger educated professionals, the college going students, and people in the 20-40 age category. While the older generation still voted for the Congress, a major part of the BJP’s support base came from the youth. For a Generation, fed up with the shenigans of the Congress, the failure of “champagne socialism” and “sham secularism”, the BJP seemed the best alternative. The BJP’s right wing Hindutva ideology had large scale support among the urban educated middle classes, while its espousal of a capitalist economy enthused the youth. The reason why youth, including myself, supported the BJP in large numbers was its no nonsense stance on internal security and the country’s safety. Many ex Defence officers joined the BJP, impressed by the party’s discipline, its decorum. While there essentially was not much difference between Congress and BJP on economic policy in the 90’s, the difference was pronounced on other issues, like relations with US, more friendly policy with Israel, Uniform Civil Code, repeal of Article 370, which did really attract the youth. Read the rest of this entry »

Based on feedback received from the ground in some states as well as newspaper, TV reports, web blogs and discussions during the 3 phases of “India Votes 2009”, my state wise estimate is given below. I would request all readers to give your valuable inputs also.

Phases I-II were certainly advantageous to NDA. There were some setbacks to the alliance during Phase-III in the states of Karnataka and Gujarat. Overall the 3 phases has put NDA ahead.

But the alliance has little to consolidate upon in the subsequent 2 phases, which may be limited to small gains in Himachal, Western UP, Haryana, and Delhi. It should now focus on increasing the losses of UPA by either cutting down UPA votes, strategically transferring its votes to non UPA parties especially in TN and WB and finally restricting its losses in Rajasthan and Punjab. In fact if BJP helps Left restrict its losses in WB and Kerela, it would be an advantage to NDA as it would directly affect UPA numbers. Read the rest of this entry »

Dear friends, These are my Predictions for TN. However, I have to Admit, it’s A Rough one going by The Trends and Past Record(Including Delimitation factor takien into consideration).

In TamilNadu, The Key Players this Election would be : AIADMK Combine which includes PMK,MDMK,CPI,CPI(M), DMK-Congress-VCK Combine.
A Lot of Hype surrounding Captain Vijaykanth’s DMDK. However, Poll Observers and Analysts feel that being Directionless, DMDK has lost sheen.Going for The Parliamentary Elections alone, He has refused to Join The Open Invitation of State BJP Chief, Ila Ganesan and instead was seen hobnobbing with TNCC President giving clear indications that He would support upa post polls.Since Tamils are Extremely Angry over congressand would Teach A Lesson to anyone hobnobbing with them in This election, aspersions are being cast on whether he can retain the 8.3% vote he earned in 2006!!!!!
BJP Too has Formed Primarily with Sarathkumar’s Nadar outfit and Karthik’s Thevar outfit. However, As Karthik’s outfit is contesting on BJP’s Symbol, Technically, The Alliance is Primarily between BJP And AISMK of Sarath Kumar. Read the rest of this entry »

Hello Friends!

After saying a long due “Thanks” to all of you for making POR blog a success, I am very happy to announce the launch of Indian Politics Forums by Promise of Reason Blog. Your one stop place to discuss Indian politics. It is a extension of this blog with more features and powers to users. You can start your own topics, post links, organize polls and above all, can make some very good friends. Please Register here.

Indian Politics Forums is a result of long felt need of an exclusive Indian politics related forum. We do have many good forums around on the web, but none is specific to the most talked about topic in India, that is our politics.
We all have views, comments and problems related to our political system. It is time to think reasonably and discuss among us the various ways to take India to its due place in the world. Read the rest of this entry »

See some seatwise detailed analysis

By Promise of Reason (covered Kerala, Chhattisgarh till now)

By readers of Promise of Reason (covered Maharashtra, Karnataka, Andhra, Assam, Rajasthan, UP till now)

Comments are invited, and don’t forget to share it with your friends.

There are three principal formations in the fray – the NDA, the Congress and the AUDF. How the AUDF will react will determine the fate of the other two, as far as I can see.

1.Karimganj
Spread across the districts of Hailakandi and Karimganj in the Barak valley, this is a seat where Muslims are a decisive factor one way or the other (both districts have Muslim populations in the late 40s or early 50 percent). This constituency usually features a direct fight between the BJP and the Congress. The AGP has a reasonable, but not a great presence in region – it has never won the seat in the three elections, nor has it come second in any of the previous three elections, and nor does it control any of the assembly segments that fall in the area. Read the rest of this entry »