Promise of Reason

Now coming to the structured analysis:
I will start from Western UP – Rohilkhand- Central Terai region covering Saharanpur, Meerut, Moradabad, Bareilly, Aligarh & Agra divisions. This region covers LS 32 seats. Out of this 32 seats, 5 LS seats are SC reserved: Nagina, Bulandshahr, Hathras, Agra, Shahjahanpur. In the remaining 27 seats, in 60% of them i.e. 16 seats there is atleast one Muslim candidate from SP, BSP or Congress+. In at least 6 seats, there are two Muslim candidates. Even the Muslim candidates from Congress are strong in this region to cut into Muslim votes. It is just a pity to do analysis based on total caste considerations, but Uttar Pradesh is like that only. Read the rest of this entry »

As all of us know UP is the largest state in terms of no. of Lok sabha seats with 80 odd LS seats. The Lok Sabha (LS) elections in UP will be held in all five phases, in each phase approx. 16 seats will be voting, which is in the range of total no. of seats in moderate size states like Orissa (21), Kerala (20), Assam (14), Jharkhand (14), Punjab (13)= Total 82. So, in this way each phase of UP is equivalent to one of these states and total UP is equal to sum total of all these states approx. Read the rest of this entry »