Now when the Indian junta has spoken their views through that small PPPing machine, we all are waiting for the 16th May to see whether all this political gimmickry is of any use or we are going to face another election in few months due to fractured verdict. The most important battle for the top political space of India is going to be fought after results are announced. Yeah, this is a sad fact of democracy, but that is why Indian politics is what it is, fun, raw, pragmatic and ever evolving. Let us consider what all scenarios might emerge post 16th May (Between, FYI, I voted first time in my life on 7th May, went to my home 150 Km just for this purpose, in between final exams, now that was a good decision.   )
I will use my early prediction as far as the seats are concerned. That is NDA 210-220, UPA 160-180, and rest as can be seen here.

Option1: Manmohan Singh: UPA 170, Fourth front 35 (almost UPA), Amma front from Tamilnadu 30 (in advance of dismissing Karuna government in TN), outside support from Left 35 (to block NDA) and some smaller parties.
If this happens, it will be a very unstable government as Left will be ready to leave anytime. A minority government as in 1991 Rao gov.

Option2: Rahul Gandhi/Some other Congress person acceptable to Left: Same formation, but Left inside the government.
Very unlikely that left joins the government, but Left will ask to change our beloved sardar ji with someone else to save the face.

Option3: Sharad Pawar: or for that matter any dark horse, with the support of UPA, Left, fourth front, BJD, and outside support of Amma/Mayawati.

Option4: Mayawati: Mayawati with the support of NDA, TDP+TRS, Amma front, and some other smaller parties. It would be interesting to see whether NDA/BJP will join this government or just an outside support, which will make it very unstable.

Option5: Advani: NDA 215, Mayawati 30, Amma front 30, TDP front 20, and some other smaller parties. It is most likely option according to me and most stable also. Now the important thing to watch would be concessions, BJP have to make for Maya and Jaya support.

My prediction is Option 5, option 2,  Option 3, Option 1, Option 4 in decreasing order of probability. But as all of us know, India is a surprising country, so be prepared to see any surprise after May 16th. What do you think is most probable scenario?

Take a look at these related posts:

1. Countdown to general election 2009 – south india – a thousand options
2. Countdown to general election 2009 – east india – lefts are loosing
3. Countdown to general election 2009 – conclusion – a hung parliament
4. India Election 2009 pre-poll prediction : Introduction